anomalous volatility in the indices, if we consider their collapse at the end of March in relation to the spread of Sars-Cov-19 and their gradual recovery to date, which in the USA and in Asia, even allowed various markets to obtain a positive result for 2020.
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The dynamics of the primary world stock markets before and after the US presidential elections substantially respected forecasts, in the sense that the rapid correction on the eve was followed by a prompt recovery which brought shares of the indices back to the top of the recent range.
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The looming presidential vote in the USA and the almost exponential expansion of infections from Sars-Cov-2 in Europe and America, seem to leave world stock markets indifferent as they continue undeterred in the lateral phase of accumulation which began after the brief correction of September.
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In the aftermath of an unusually quiet month for stock markets in August, indeed a positive one, given that some US indices were able to revisit the pre-Covid all-time highs, the recent return to normal trading volumes has led to greater volatility on international markets, without, however, inducing change in the underlying trend in place since last April.
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During this first glimpse of summer, the primary world stock indices continued the lateral movement that has characterized them since the end of spring, confirming the working hypothesis that they are in an accumulation phase.
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The first half performance of world’s stock exchanges ended with a moderately negative result, if some notable exceptions such as the Chinese market and the US Nasdaq are excluded, however, this is a result that was difficult to predict at the end of March when the indices were down an average of 30% from beginning of the year.
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The month of June started in the best possible way, given that the first week ended with the US S&P 500 index closing marginally up for the year, in essence eliminating the annual loss recorded since March 19.
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In the month of April the stock markets were marked by a generalized technical rebound which allowed almost all the international indices to rebound from the marked oversold bias that transpired in the second half of March following the economic fallout of Covid-19.
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Compared to the lows in the second half of March, the S&P 500 index of the US stock exchange retraced 50% from the historical high of February.
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During the past few sessions, the primary world stock market indices have attempted to start an accumulation phase fluctuating within a wide range, limited to the downside by the lows of 2018 for the US indices and those of 2016 for the European indices.
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