The working hypothesis that provided for a prolonged phase of distribution in the dynamics of stock markets, which have characterized the first part of the summer period as an alternative to a seamless continuation of the bearish phase underway since January, was found to be correct.
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The luring distraction constituted by the dramatic ongoing conflict on the eastern borders of Europe continues to divert attention from the real problem that weighs on the prospective dynamics of international securities markets.
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the concomitance between restrictive monetary policies by the main central banks, abnormal increases in the price of fossil fuels with the consequent resurgence of inflation and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
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having reached a technical level of oversold, which during the past three sessions has favored a rebound close to technical resistance levels.
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After the brief consolidation phase registered by the world stock indices in September, stocks have regained buyer interest, as evidenced by the S&P 500 index hitting yet another all-time high close to 4700 points, a level that this summer seemed achievable only at the beginning of 2022.
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Analyzing the dynamics of the primary international stock market indices during the month of July, there are some discrepancies in trends, the reasons for which deserve further study.
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With two weeks remining until the end of the first quarter for the stock markets, the forecasts at year-end have been substantially respected by the dynamics of the main international indices.
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The world’s stock markets have concluded a year which will be remembered in economic history textbooks as particularly volatile and characterized by strong geographical disparities.
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anomalous volatility in the indices, if we consider their collapse at the end of March in relation to the spread of Sars-Cov-19 and their gradual recovery to date, which in the USA and in Asia, even allowed various markets to obtain a positive result for 2020.
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The dynamics of the primary world stock markets before and after the US presidential elections substantially respected forecasts, in the sense that the rapid correction on the eve was followed by a prompt recovery which brought shares of the indices back to the top of the recent range.
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