The working hypothesis that provided for a prolonged phase of distribution in the dynamics of stock markets, which have characterized the first part of the summer period as an alternative to a seamless continuation of the bearish phase underway since January, was found to be correct.
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The luring distraction constituted by the dramatic ongoing conflict on the eastern borders of Europe continues to divert attention from the real problem that weighs on the prospective dynamics of international securities markets.
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the concomitance between restrictive monetary policies by the main central banks, abnormal increases in the price of fossil fuels with the consequent resurgence of inflation and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
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having reached a technical level of oversold, which during the past three sessions has favored a rebound close to technical resistance levels.
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Analyzing the dynamics of the primary international stock market indices during the month of July, there are some discrepancies in trends, the reasons for which deserve further study.
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The second quarter commenced with solid demand for the primary stock markets, validating the short-term upward trend, reconfirmed in the aftermath of the two modest corrections at the end of January and the end of February, whose lows now represent support for their respective indices.
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The new year for stock markets started without significant changes with respect to the underlying trend that characterized the dynamics of the stock markets from last spring.
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The world’s stock markets have concluded a year which will be remembered in economic history textbooks as particularly volatile and characterized by strong geographical disparities.
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During this first glimpse of summer, the primary world stock indices continued the lateral movement that has characterized them since the end of spring, confirming the working hypothesis that they are in an accumulation phase.
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The month of June started in the best possible way, given that the first week ended with the US S&P 500 index closing marginally up for the year, in essence eliminating the annual loss recorded since March 19.
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