With only a few days before the official inauguration of the new US President, several economic and geopolitical factors have already begun to discount the foreseeable strategic changes of the new executive.
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Market
MARKET OBSERVER – N° 180
The technical accumulation phase of shares of the primary stock markets that began after the “flash crash” of early August, gave way to the subsequent recovery of prices in October, characterized by a certain gradualness, also because the elements of uncertainty, especially geopolitical, abound.
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OSSERVATORIO MOBILIARE – N° 180
La fase tecnica di accumulazione delle quote dei principali indici di borsa avviatasi dopo il “flash crash” di inizio agosto, con il mese di ottobre ha lasciato il posto alla conseguente ripresa delle quotazioni, caratterizzata da una certa gradualità, anche perché gli elementi di incertezza, soprattutto geopolitici, abbondano.
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MARKET OBSERVER – N° 179
This autumn the stock markets are starting off conditioned by various factors of uncertainty ranging from the imminent US presidential election, to the next monetary policy decisions of central banks, to the real stability of the economic situation on opposite sides of the Atlantic and to the prospective dynamics of the dollar exchange rate, elements that are partly linked to each other.
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MARKET OBSERVER – N° 178
The start of the summer for stock markets coincided with a phase of technical distribution on the primary indices, culminating in a modest correction that affected the entire month of July, quantifiable in a general correction of stocks in the order of about 5%.
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MARKET OBSERVER – N° 177
For the developed Western economies, this Spring coincided with a phase of unexpected economic stability, which also caught the monetary authorities off guard.
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OSSERVATORIO MOBILIARE – N° 177
Il periodo primaverile, per le economie sviluppate occidentali, ha coinciso con una fase di inattesa tenuta congiunturale, che ha preso in contropiede anche le autorità monetarie. Infatti, la fase rialzista avviatasi sui listini a partire dallo scorso ottobre, trovava nel prossimo ribasso del costo del denaro la sua principale motivazione.
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MARKET OBSERVER – N° 176
The first quarter of 2024 is approaching its end, recording a positive balance confirming that the underlying bullish trend that began in October 2022 remains in place, barring inevitable interruptions, such as that of March 2023, induced by the regional banking crisis in the USA.
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OSSERVATORIO MOBILIARE – N° 176
Il primo trimestre borsistico del 2024 si avvicina al termine, registrando un bilancio positivo a conferma che la tendenza rialzista di fondo avviatasi nell’ottobre 2022, rimane tuttora in essere, salvo inevitabili interruzioni, quale quella del marzo 2023, indotta dalla crisi delle banche regionali USA.
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MARKET OBSERVER – N° 175
For the third consecutive year, the forecasts relating to the prospective dynamics of the international securities markets cannot be deduced from the possibility or otherwise of an economic recession starting during the year. This hypothesis had already been aired by experts in 2022 and reiterated at the level of a generalized consensus in 2023, only to prove fallacious until now.
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